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Crude Oil: From Above $100 Down to $91 in Ten Days
Elliott wave analysis comes down to this: The ability to identify patterns in price charts. If you can do that, you can do Elliott. Sometimes it's easy, sometimes not so much -- but because there are only 13 known Elliott wave patterns, you can train yourself to find them fairly quickly in most situations. With that in mind, let's take a look at the recent price action in crude.Tackling the Daunting Task of Staying On Crude Oil's Track
Trying to anticipate the long-term direction in oil prices based on a series of unknown, external variables is like trying to toss a straight arrow in the middle of a hurricane. It's doubtful you'd actually hit the bulls eye. We here at Elliott Wave International believe that with Elliott analysis, you stand a better shot.Crude Oil: Higher Prices on Low Supply? Seeing is UN-Believing
Question: Does supply play a role in determining the direction of a commodity market's prices? Answer: Absolutely, but not in the way the mainstream financial media paints it out to. Case in point: crude oil. Over the past two years, oil prices have soared from a 4-year low in 2009 to a 2-year high in April 2011.Yet, all this time, crude stockpiles in the U.S. have been rising.Crude Oil Case Study: Add Value to Your Energy
Market analysts know that faltering momentum often accompanies significant tops and bottoms. With the added perspective of the Wave Principle, our analysts can alert you to market changes that most people never see coming.Earthquake, Tsunami, Oil-shock, Middle East Wars, Debt Melt-Downs
The public's commitment to US equities is starting to resemble a country western song. Investors have chosen to "stand by their stocks," come what may in global politics and finance, including one of the most politically unstable climates in recent history, as civil protests and military conflict spreads across the Middle East and North Africa. But like the lyrics says: Been down so low, there's only one place left to go -- up.Current Echoes of the Old Mania
In the decade leading to the end of the Great Asset Mania in 2007, a rising tide of credit expansion drove many major financial market trends in remarkable harmony. Yet in 2009 this correlation seemed to diverge: stocks, precious metals, and oil moved contra-cyclically. But today, the trend in those markets is aligned once again.Oil Above $108 Is NOT What's Holding Back the Stock Market
It's a subject we at EWI have written a lot about, but it's as relevant as ever: Fear that rising oil prices are bad for the stock market is a total myth. See this chart to understand why.Crude Oil Right On Track: How High Will It Fly?
A recent media report described the fraught and fractured situation in the Middle East as being "clouded by confusion." You could easily say the same thing about the mainstream financial headlines on how said political strife is affecting the long-term trend of crude oil prices. In the first two weeks of March, for example, crude endured a powerful $14 per barrel sell off. In fact, on March 15, oil plunged nearly 4% in its steepest one-day percentage drop in five months.Is Now The Time To Board The Commodity Bandwagon?
Get out your potting soil and pruning shears: April is National Garden Month. But for those of you more interested in the flowerbeds of financial opportunity, EWI's chief commodity analyst Jeffrey Kennedy has the ultimate green thumb. And, in the just-published April 2011 Monthly Futures Junctures, Jeffrey reveals which commodity markets will blossom in the coming weeks -- and which ones will see their bloom come off the rose.Crude Oil: $112 a Barrel and Counting
The notion that conflict in the Middle Eastern is bullish for oil does seem logical -- after all, how could it not be if that's where most of the world's oil comes from? But read this excerpt from EWI's January 2011 Global Market Perspective. This bullish forecast was published on December 31, 2010 -- before Tunisia; before Egypt; before Libya...
EUR/USD: Falling on Risk Aversion? Let's Look at the Timeline First
The U.S. dollar has gained 9 full cents on the euro in less than two weeks. That's a huge move, and people want explanations. And what the media offers boils down to "risk aversion," in light of "the bad news from Greece." And that sounds good -- until you check the timeline.Oil Back Above $112. Higher Highs Ahead?
You may have noticed that crude oil's recent rally has been rocky. Prices suffered a big setback in early March, when oil lost 10%. More losses came last week, when on April 11 and 12 crude fell from near $113 to $106 a barrel. Here's how some of the mainstream energy market analysts explained that recent decline...Oil Price Up? Bad for Stocks. Oil Price Down? Bad for Stocks. Some Market Indicator!
Crude oil lost over 6% this week: from a high above $113 a barrel on Monday (Apr. 11) to below $106 on Wednesday (Apr. 13). So let's focus the oil/stocks correlation so often discussed in the news.The 4 Hottest Energy Stocks for 2011 - Investment Ideas
Crude oil is on the move. It has finally broken through the trading range of $60 to $90 a barrel that it has zigzagged between for most of 2010. Some bullish analysts are predicting $100 a barrel by the end of the first quarter of 2011.Feeling The Effects Of Falling Crude Oil Prices: Are The Boom Times Over?
Recent data show that investments in the energy sector have been leaking profits faster than the BP oil spill.The Curious Case Of Rising Crude Oil -- Or Is It?
An April 9 MarketWatch headline reads: "Oil's Moves Leave Traders Scratching Their Heads." The source of the confusion is as follows: Crude prices have rocketed 70%-plus in the past year DESPITE two major "bear"iers: One, "Crude inventories are above the high end of the normal range" and two) global demand is "anemic."
What's Behind The Fall In Oil Prices? See CHART
In just two short trading days (January 21 and 22) oil prices have gone from boiling to toiling. Crude fell more than 4% to land at its lowest level in one month. According to the mainstream experts, one main factor is to blame for turning the blue skies in oil gray: A doubly-bearish January 21 Energy Information Administration (EIA, for short) report revealing these two details:
Crude Oil: Is The Black Gold Bull Back For Good?
As crude oil prices continue to fly higher than a kite on the surface of the moon, one question dominates the financial webosphere: Where are energy prices headed? According to some mainstream market observers, the answer is not so clear: We here at EWI couldn't agree more: Trying to anticipate the long-term direction in oil prices based on a series of unknown, external variables is like trying to toss a straight arrow in the middle of a hurricane. It's doubtful you'd actually hit the bulls eye.
Video - What's ahead for crude oil?
There's no question about it, 2010 has been pretty difficult for most traders in the crude oil market. This year has produced no discernible, lasting trends in this market. The trends it has produced have lasted little more than just 3 or 4 weeks at best. So what's ahead for this market? In today's short video we examine the fact that crude oil briefly traded over $90 a barrel before falling back. So what made the crude oil market reverse course and fall back? Was it selling, was it profit taking, a technical point, or something else? We are examining crude oil in detail using a tool that we think is very appropriate for this type of market at the moment.Crude Oil And The 210,000 Gallon-a-Day Gorilla
Can we please just talk about the (estimated) 5,000-210,000-gallons-a-day-of-oil-spewing-into-the-Gulf-of-Mexico-GORILLA in the room? The April 20 Deepwater Horizon oil spill has quickly become one of the worst environmental catastrophes in US history. Its scope now measures 10,170 (and counting) square miles...
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